TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:15h:44m
$
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Willem II Tilburg and PEC Zwolle scheduled for November 6, 2026. Markets exist for Willem II Tilburg winning, PEC Zwolle winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 between Willem II Tilburg and PEC Zwolle.
The event resolves based on the result of the Willem II vs Zwolle professional Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A victory for Willem II resolves the 'Willem II' market to Yes; a victory for Zwolle resolves the 'Zwolle' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, creating a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. This market's volume of $1,745 indicates active trading, and the resulting prices can sometimes provide an edge over sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks may also incorporate information not readily available to prediction market traders, leading to divergences in odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Willem II vs. Zwolle match. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in wider bid-ask spreads and less efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design and fee structures on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and ultimately, the prices observed for this market.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Willem II vs. Zwolle match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions shortly after the match concludes. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Willem II or Zwolle would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift predictions. Even weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are expected on match day, could influence the perceived probabilities. Finally, any significant public statements from team managers or players could also act as catalysts, prompting traders to reassess their positions on the likely winner of the Willem II vs. Zwolle match.