TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Willamette Bearcats vs. Portland Pilots
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Willamette Bearcats vs Portland Pilots?

Total volume:
$13,385
Volume 24h:
$3,754
45%
Liquidity:
$3,687
28%
Open interest:
$11,783
45%

Portland

 - Kalshi

Portland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 06h:22m:01s

Portland wins

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Portland

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,385
0.39%
1,572%
$5,383
6h 22m
Active
polymarket

Willamette Bearcats vs. Portland Pilots

Trade
2%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.1¢
—
$3,687
$1,600
7%
N/A
N/A
3h 22m
Active
predict

Willamette Bearcats vs. Portland Pilots

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 22m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.9%
Yes 1.9¢No 99.1¢
Avg: —Max: —
kalshi

Willamette

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$6,400
114%
1,877%
$6,400
6h 22m
Active
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns a college basketball game between the Willamette Bearcats and the Portland Pilots scheduled for November 2nd. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is flawed as it resolves 'Yes' for either team winning, while Polymarket specifies the winning team.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket as the primary source for accurate resolution, as Kalshi's logic is nonsensical.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to the winning team: "Willamette Bearcats" or "Portland Pilots". If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50. "If the Willamette Bearcats win, the market will resolve to "Willamette Bearcats". If the Portland Pilots win, the market will resolve to "Portland Pilots".
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. This is logically inconsistent. "If Portland wins the Willamette vs Portland men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Willamette wins the Willamette vs Portland men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Willamette Bearcats and Portland Pilots on November 2 at 8:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the men's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Willamette Bearcats and Portland Pilots on November 2 at 8:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Willamette vs. Portland game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these venues is $12,917, with $3,286 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of the likely outcome, though it’s important to note that individual platforms may have differing probabilities. On Polymarket, the market indicates a 1.9% chance of Willamette Bearcats vs. Portland Pilots, while Kalshi currently shows a 99.0% probability of Portland wins.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The spread on this market may differ from typical sportsbooks by as much as 97.1.

Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi are common due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading fees, market-making activity, and even the time of day can influence prices. Furthermore, the liquidity—or volume—on each platform impacts price discovery. If one platform has significantly more volume, its price is more likely to be considered the 'true' probability, but that doesn’t mean the other platform’s price is necessarily incorrect. Currently, Polymarket shows Willamette Bearcats vs. Portland Pilots at 1.9%, while Kalshi leans toward Portland wins at 99.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Willamette vs. Portland game will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, official result. The volume traded in this market is currently $12,917, indicating significant interest in predicting the outcome of this contest.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Willamette Bearcats or the Portland Pilots could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team dynamics could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader news related to college sports or even weather conditions affecting travel could introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals on Polymarket and Kalshi will be key to understanding how the market evolves.