TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
polymarket
predict
opinion

Will Pacifica launch a token by 2027-01-01?

Total volume:
$72,515,529
Volume 24h:
$45
98%
Liquidity:
$89,285
15%
Open interest:
$9,036N/A

December 31 2026

all

3 markets

Predict

Opinion

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?

20%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 21.9¢ buys you 457 shares | Odds: 20% Total Payout: $457 | Net Profit: $357 Multiplier: 4.57x | ROI: 357% APY not meaningful 78 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

December 31 2026

Trade
20%
Yes 21.9¢No 81.3¢
3.2¢
$44,554
$121,448
0%
0.17%
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
active
opinion

December 31 2026

Trade
20%
Yes 35.4¢No 99.9¢
35.3¢
N/A
$20,067,584
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
active
polymarket

December 31 2026

Trade
17%
Yes 20¢No 86¢
6¢
$1,133
$35,450
0.13%
5%
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
19.6%
Yes 25.8¢No 89.1¢
Avg: 14.8¢Max: 35.3¢
opinion

March 31 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,056,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
No
opinion

December 31 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,722,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
No
opinion

June 30 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,978,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
No
opinion

September 30 2026

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,229,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 3d
No
predict

September 30 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$43,598
$101,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
polymarket

September 30 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

March 31 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,207
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
polymarket

December 31 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
polymarket

June 30 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
predict

June 30 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks whether Pacifica will launch a governance token by December 31, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of this occurring is 20.3%. This forecast aggregates data from Polymarket, Predict, and Opinion, and will be resolved based on information from Pacifica, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting. Resolution will depend on the official launch of a publicly transferable and tradable token, not merely announcements of intent. Keep an eye on Pacifica’s official communications leading up to the resolution date estimate of January 1, 2027, to see if a launch is confirmed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize identical resolution criteria regarding the launch of a transferable governance token and rely on Pacifica's announcements as the primary source.Primary resolution logic: Information from Pacifica, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution requires the *official launch* of a governance token.
  • The token must be *actively and publicly transferable and tradable*.
  • Announcements alone are *not sufficient* for a 'Yes' resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Airdrops: An airdrop of tokens, even if widely distributed, does not constitute a 'launch' if the tokens are not actively and publicly tradable on an exchange.
  • Testnet Launches: Launches on testnets do not qualify as official launches for resolution purposes.
  • Delayed Trading: If a token is announced but trading is significantly delayed (e.g., weeks or months), resolution will depend on whether the delay prevents it from being considered 'actively tradable' by the specified date.
Timing: Resolution will occur upon confirmation of the token launch (or lack thereof) by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in each market's title.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Opinion

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the aggregate trading activity for the Pacifica token launch market. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $72,515,529, with $45 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions regarding whether Pacifica will launch a token by the designated date. The dashboard synthesizes data from both venues to offer a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. Both Polymarket and Predict show significant interest in this event, making it one of the most actively traded markets on PredictionHero.

Unlike traditional spot markets that reflect current prices, this market represents aggregated *expectations* about a future event – the launch of the Pacifica token. The odds reflect the probability traders assign to that event occurring. A higher price suggests greater confidence in a launch, while a lower price indicates skepticism. These probabilities, derived from real-money trading, can offer a different perspective than traditional financial analysis, potentially identifying opportunities or risks not immediately apparent in spot price movements. This market allows for speculation on a binary outcome, something not directly available in typical asset trading.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Pacifica token launch market may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing interpretations of available information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, subtle differences in platform mechanics, such as fees or liquidity provisions, can contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors the outcome of a launch at 17.0%, while Predict leans toward no launch at 20.3%.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on whether Pacifica officially announces and launches a functional token accessible for public trading before the specified date. The outcome will be determined by assessing publicly available information and verifiable announcements from the Pacifica team. Any ambiguity will be resolved by referencing widely accepted sources of information regarding the token's launch status. The final outcome will be based on objective evidence, not subjective interpretation.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from the Pacifica team regarding token development or launch timelines would be a major catalyst. Positive or negative news coverage about Pacifica's technology or partnerships could also influence trading activity. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, such as regulatory changes or shifts in investor sentiment, could indirectly affect the market. Unexpected technical challenges or delays in Pacifica's development process could also lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market.