TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Will Nansen launch a token by ___?
Total volume:
$217,301
Volume 24h:
$3,292
2%
Liquidity:
$181,432
21%
Open interest:
$17,189
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Nansen (a blockchain analytics platform) will launch an officially tradable governance token by various dates in 2026. The markets span four deadline dates: March 31, June 30, September 30, and December 31, 2026. Resolution requires the token to be actively and publicly transferable and tradable—announcements alone do not qualify.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Predict employ identical resolution criteria across all four deadline markets with no material divergence in logic, timing, or source hierarchy.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) announcements; consensus of credible reporting as secondary validationCore resolution logic:
- Token must be officially launched by Nansen
- Token must be a governance token
- Token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable
- Launch must occur by 11:59 PM ET on the specified deadline date
- Announcements alone do not qualify; actual public trading capability required
- Resolution applies independently to each deadline market (March 31, June 30, September 30, December 31, 2026)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Announcement vs. Launch: If Nansen announces a token but it is not yet publicly transferable and tradable by the deadline, the market resolves No. The token must be live and actively trading on public markets.
- Limited vs. Full Launch: If the token launches with trading restrictions or is only available to a limited set of users by the deadline, it does not qualify as publicly transferable and tradable. Full public availability is required.
- Multiple Deadline Markets: Each deadline market is independent. If a token launches by June 30, 2026, all markets with deadlines on or after that date (June 30, September 30, December 31) resolve Yes; earlier deadlines resolve No.
- Source Conflict: If official Nansen sources conflict with credible reporting, official Nansen sources take precedence. Consensus of credible reporting is used only when official sources are ambiguous or unavailable.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each specified deadline date (March 31, June 30, September 30, and December 31, 2026). Markets resolve independently based on whether the token has launched and is publicly tradable by that exact time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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