TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
Total volume:
$480,243
Volume 24h:
$543
50%
Liquidity:
$41,372
71%
Open interest:
$6,553
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Exponent (a decentralized finance protocol) will launch an officially tradable governance token by various dates in 2026. The resolution requires the token to be actively and publicly transferable and tradable—announcements alone do not qualify. Markets span four deadline dates: March 31, June 30, September 30, and December 31, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms use identical resolution criteria: token must be officially launched, actively tradable, and publicly transferable by 11:59 PM ET on the specified deadline date.
Primary resolution logic:
Exponent official sources (https://x.com/ExponentFinance) with consensus of credible reporting as secondary confirmationCore resolution logic:
- Token must be officially launched by Exponent
- Token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable
- Announcements or pre-launch commitments alone do not qualify
- Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on the deadline date specified in each market title
- Resolution to YES requires token to meet all criteria by the deadline; otherwise resolves NO
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Announcement vs. Launch: An announcement of a future token launch does not trigger YES resolution. The token must be actively trading and transferable on the resolution date.
- Testnet or Limited Release: A testnet token or limited-access release does not qualify. The token must be publicly available for transfer and trading.
- Governance Token Specificity: The market explicitly requires a governance token. Other token types (utility, payment, etc.) do not satisfy the resolution criteria.
- Timezone Precision: All deadlines are 11:59 PM ET. Token launch must occur on or before this exact time on the specified date.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each market's deadline date (March 31, June 30, September 30, or December 31, 2026). Markets are structured as a chronological series where earlier deadlines resolve first; later markets remain open until their respective deadlines.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.