TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wild vs. Stars
Volume:
$1,128,097
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars NHL game scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets track three dimensions: head-to-head winner, and combined goal totals across multiple thresholds (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 on Polymarket; O/U 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5 on Kalshi). Resolution uses final official NHL score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers over/under markets on total combined goals (2.5 through 9.5 thresholds), while Polymarket provides a moneyline market (Wild vs. Stars winner), over/under markets on total goals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds), and a spread market (Stars -1.5). The platforms diverge on market scope and available betting options, though both use the same underlying game result and goal-counting methodology.Hero Tip:
If you want to bet on total goals, note that Kalshi's lowest threshold is 2.5 while Polymarket's lowest is 4.5 — they do not overlap at the low end. Kalshi also extends to 9.5, offering higher thresholds than Polymarket. If you want to bet on the winner or the spread, only Polymarket offers those markets. Ensure your strategy aligns with which platform's market selection matches your view.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers eight over/under markets on total combined goals with thresholds of 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5. Each market resolves YES if the threshold is exceeded. The platform does not offer moneyline or spread markets. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 total combined goals are scored... then the market resolves to Yes' through 'If over 9.5 total combined goals are scored... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a moneyline market (Wild vs. Stars), three over/under markets on total combined goals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds), and a spread market (Stars -1.5). The moneyline resolves to the winner; over/under markets resolve based on whether combined goals meet or exceed the threshold; the spread resolves to Stars if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Wild. Key quote: 'If the Wild win, the market will resolve to Wild. If the Stars win, the market will resolve to Stars' and 'This market will resolve to Stars if the Stars win the game by 2 or more goals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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