TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This group centers around the NHL game between the Wild and the Flames on October 22nd. Markets cover both the winner of the game and over/under goals scored, with standard rules for postponed or canceled games.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:00PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 22 at 9:00PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting with their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to nuanced information or expert opinions. Typically, prediction markets are considered highly efficient and can even outperform traditional sportsbooks in terms of forecast accuracy. However, factors like market liquidity—currently at a volume of $99,582—and the availability of information can influence how closely these odds align.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk appetite. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differences in market design—such as the types of contracts offered or the fees charged—can also contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors the over/under at 4.5 goals, while Predict has a different leading outcome. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources of information when evaluating the potential outcome of the Wild vs. Flames game.