TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wild vs. Blues
Volume:
$2,091,477
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, the Minnesota Wild will play the St. Louis Blues in an NHL game. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing outcomes related to the final score (moneyline winner), combined goals scored (totals), and margin of victory. All markets treat overtime and shootouts identically: shootout wins add one goal to the winning team's final score for resolution purposes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes and thresholds. Kalshi resolves on goal-differential margins (1.5+ or 2.5+ goals by either team), while Polymarket offers separate markets for moneyline (winner only), over/under total goals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread outcomes (2+ goal margin). A single game outcome will produce different YES/NO results across the two platforms' market structures.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's four markets all resolve YES if either team wins by 1.5+ or 2.5+ goals — meaning a 2-0 Blues win triggers YES on all four Kalshi markets simultaneously. Polymarket separates moneyline, totals, and spreads into distinct markets with independent outcomes. Do not assume a Kalshi YES correlates to a specific Polymarket market; verify which Polymarket market you are trading before placing a bet.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi collapses all resolution logic into four markets based solely on goal-differential thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ margin by either team), with no distinction between moneyline, spread, or total-goals outcomes. Key quote: 'If St. Louis wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' All four Kalshi markets resolve YES or NO based on the same margin logic, creating redundancy.
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers six distinct market types (moneyline, three over/under totals at 4.5/5.5/6.5/7.5, and two spreads at -1.5 for each team), each with independent resolution criteria. Key quote: 'If the Wild win, the market will resolve to Wild' (moneyline) versus 'This market will resolve to Over if the Wild and Blues combine to score 5 or more goals' (O/U 4.5) versus 'This market will resolve to Wild if the Wild win the game by 2 or more goals' (spread). Polymarket's markets measure different dimensions (winner, total goals, margin) and will not all resolve the same way for a given game outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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