TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:02h:12m
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This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Wigan and Mansfield. It evaluates various thresholds of goal counts to determine the outcome. The focus is on predicting whether the match will be high-scoring or not based on these predefined benchmarks.
The event assesses multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Wigan vs Mansfield professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is evaluated based on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the actual number of goals exceeds any given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The rules consistently apply the same criteria across all thresholds, ensuring uniformity in resolution. It is important to note that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the event’s outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, although this is not always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that aims to accurately reflect the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of goals scored in the Wigan vs Mansfield match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events. It is important to note that the resolution process is independent and objective, relying on verified data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Wigan or Mansfield would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before kickoff could also shift the market’s perception of the likely outcome. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or fan discussions, could also play a role.