TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Wigan and Bromley, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold set in different markets. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event encompasses four distinct markets, each evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for either Wigan or Bromley to win by in the EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by the exact margin stated in the market—Wigan by more than 2.5 goals, Wigan by more than 1.5 goals, Bromley by more than 1.5 goals, or Bromley by more than 2.5 goals. Each market operates independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread itself is the central element of this market, and traders are betting on whether the actual result will be above or below the specified value. The more contracts bought for a specific outcome, the higher its price will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Wigan vs Bromley match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual spread. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Wigan or Bromley would likely impact trading activity. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence traders' beliefs. Unexpected announcements related to team management or ownership could also create volatility. Monitoring sports news and analysis focused on both teams is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the odds in this market.