TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
O/U 4.5
- Polymarket
O/U 4.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 19h:47m:14s
$
More markets for the League One game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
More markets for the League One game, scheduled for October 3 at 10:00 AM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market relies on the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view here, driving the odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before a lot of money flows into either venue, as information asymmetry plays a role. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, according to Polymarket, has a chance percentage of 99.0%. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The volume traded helps determine the reliability of the price signal.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Wigan vs. Mansfield match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the final score and declare a winner. It’s important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, impacting the style of play and potentially the outcome. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might draw attention and influence traders on Polymarket. Finally, any public statements from key players or managers could also move the market, as they provide insights into team morale and strategy.