TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third-tier league. The contest involves two teams competing to determine a winner within the standard match duration, with a specific resolution method for tied results. Market outcomes are based solely on the final score after regulation time, excluding any extended play.
The event resolves based on the result of the Wiesbaden vs Großaspach professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Wiesbaden wins, the 'Wiesbaden' market resolves to Yes; if Großaspach wins, the 'Großaspach' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. All markets refer specifically to the result after regulation time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's general rules. The operator disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by actual money being wagered on the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may overlook, resulting in a different probability distribution for the Wiesbaden vs Großaspach match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand; there are no automated market makers or external factors influencing the price beyond trader activity. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wiesbaden vs Großaspach match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process and ensure transparency in the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Wiesbaden or Großaspach could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions, which could impact the style of play, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also move the market. Strong betting activity on one side could also create momentum and drive price changes, reflecting evolving trader sentiment about the Wiesbaden vs Großaspach match.