TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 2:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Wiesbaden and Aachen in Germany's 3. Liga. The result will be determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether Wiesbaden, Aachen, or neither team (a tie) secures the victory within this timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Wiesbaden vs Aachen professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Wiesbaden wins, the 'Wiesbaden' market resolves to Yes; if Aachen wins, the 'Aachen' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The event operates independently of the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Often, prediction markets can provide an earlier signal of potential outcomes, as they are less susceptible to biases that might influence sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when significant information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a margin system to ensure that traders maintain sufficient collateral, and the market is designed to incentivize accurate predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Wiesbaden vs Aachen match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result, as this will determine the final settlement of contracts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team performance in preceding matches, tactical adjustments, or even public statements from coaches or players could all contribute to shifts in the odds. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events could also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess probabilities based on evolving information.