TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:43 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game between Wieczysta Krakow and Jagiellonia Bialystok, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wieczysta Krakow vs. Jagiellonia Bialystok match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa game between Wieczysta Krakow and Jagiellonia Bialystok, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wieczysta Krakow vs. Jagiellonia Bialystok match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by traders. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market evolves continuously as more people participate and share their insights. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as the event approaches and new information emerges, potentially indicating where the market disagrees with conventional wisdom.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores for the Wieczysta Krakow vs Jagiellonia Bialystok match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that score occurring. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency relies on the active participation of informed traders who aim to capitalize on perceived mispricings, ultimately driving the odds towards a more accurate reflection of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Wieczysta Krakow vs Jagiellonia Bialystok match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning exact score. The platform will then verify this information and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Wieczysta Krakow or Jagiellonia Bialystok could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, could also play a role. Furthermore, unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or even broader shifts in public sentiment, could impact trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market fluctuations.