TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in a major league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event accounts for potential game disruptions, ensuring a fair resolution if the match cannot proceed as planned.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the professional Ekstraklasa soccer match between Wieczysta Krakow and Czestochowa scheduled for October 16, 2026: a win for Wieczysta Krakow, a win for Czestochowa, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on the circumstances. The event operates independently of the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbooks might initially favor one team, the prediction market can adjust rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment, potentially revealing a different perceived probability of each team winning or a draw.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand within Kalshi, and reflect the aggregated beliefs of those trading the market.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wieczysta Krakow versus Czestochowa soccer match. The platform will verify the final score against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable or a significant shift in team performance during recent matches could lead to substantial price movements. Additionally, major upsets in other related soccer matches might influence perceptions of team strength and impact trading activity within this market.