TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 6:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Widzew Lodz and Wisla Krakow, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Widzew Lodz" if Widzew Lodz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Wisla Krakow" if Wisla Krakow are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Widzew Lodz and Wisla Krakow, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Widzew Lodz" if Widzew Lodz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Wisla Krakow" if Wisla Krakow are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks may have different rules regarding tiebreakers or specific event conditions, which can influence their odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove correct. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Widzew Lodz or Wisla Krakow, scores the first goal in the match. Any potential delays or postponements of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will be determined by the official result as reported by trusted sports news sources. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Widzew Lodz or Wisla Krakow would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also shift probabilities. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a clear advantage for one team could sway market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations.