TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Two clubs face off in a domestic league match, concluding after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, without reliance on extra periods or penalty shootouts.
If Widzew Lodz wins the Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze professional Ekstraklasa soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Gornik Zabrze wins the Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze professional Ekstraklasa soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze professional Ekstraklasa soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and often adjust them to balance their risk, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and analysis. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook odds, or simply a different assessment of the same information. It’s a fascinating comparison to see how collective prediction differs from professional oddsmaking.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and decreases the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective beliefs of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Widzew Lodz vs Gornik Zabrze match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and official match result will determine which outcome, if any, pays out to contract holders. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match result to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader league standings changes, might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of contracts traded in one direction – could create momentum and drive price movement in this market. Monitoring sports news and analyzing team performance will be key to understanding potential shifts.