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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
polymarket
predict

Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Volume:
$315,575

Ousmane Dembélé

 - Polymarket

Ousmane Dembélé - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 6:11 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ousmane Dembélé

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Vozinha

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Rodri

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Kylian Mbappé

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Michael Owen

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,939
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Harry Kane

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Lamine Yamal

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,348
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Thierry Henry

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Ronaldo Nazário

100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Michael Olise

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Kate Scott

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$561
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
Yes
polymarket

Lionel Messi

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
predict

Lionel Messi

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1
$4,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zinedine Zidane

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,765
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
polymarket

Cristiano Ronaldo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,721
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
predict

Cristiano Ronaldo

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$6
$3,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vinícius Júnior

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
polymarket

Sergio Ramos

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
polymarket

Luis Enrique

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,358
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
polymarket

Kaka

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
polymarket

David Beckham

0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
polymarket

Ronaldinho

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
polymarket

Xavi Hernandez

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,775
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
polymarket

DJ Snake

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
polymarket

Jude Bellingham

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
4w 3h
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This group of markets asks whether various individuals will physically attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony in London. Attendance requires being present at the event itself, excluding remote appearances or attendance at related events. The markets aim to predict who will be present at the awards show.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms consistently define attendance as physical presence at the event and share a similar timeline for event cancellation/postponement.Primary resolution logic: Consensus of credible reporting or official ceremony livestream/recording

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the individual is physically present at the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony.
  • Remote appearances, prerecorded messages, and attendance at separate events do not qualify as attendance.
  • If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, markets resolve to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Event Cancellation: If the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, all markets will resolve to 'No'.
  • Brief Appearance: Even a brief appearance during any part of the ceremony qualifies as attendance.
Timing: Markets will resolve after the conclusion of the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony, no later than December 31, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person attends the 2026 Ballon d’Or awards ceremony, scheduled for October 26, 2026, at the London Palladium Theatre. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Remote appearances, prerecorded messages, and attendance at a separate reception or after-party will not qualify. If the event is canceled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the official ceremony livestream or recording, however a consensus of credible reporting can also be used.