TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
Apple announces a foldable iPhone model at a first retail price of at least a specified dollar amount.
If the first price announced for a foldable iPhone is at least $1800, then the market resolves to Yes. If the first price announced for a foldable iPhone is at least $2000, then the market resolves to Yes. If the first price announced for a foldable iPhone is at least $2200, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution hinges on the official announced or launch price of Apple's foldable iPhone model at that time. Traders should monitor Apple's earnings calls, product announcements, and press releases for definitive pricing information. If no foldable iPhone has been released or priced by the resolution date, the market rules will specify how that scenario is handled. Check the full market terms for any edge cases or clarifications on what constitutes a valid price.
Key catalysts include Apple earnings calls and product event announcements, which often hint at pricing strategy and product roadmap. Supply-chain reports on foldable display costs and component sourcing can shift expectations around manufacturing economics. Competitor foldable phone launches and their pricing will inform market views on Apple's positioning. Regulatory or tariff changes affecting component imports may influence final pricing. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, patent filings, and leaks from Apple suppliers can also trigger significant odds movements as traders reassess the likely price point.