TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What price will Solana hit in February?
Volume:
$14,810,163
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Solana (SOL) will reach or dip to specific price levels during February 2026. Markets are listed on Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on SOL/USDT price data from Binance during the calendar month of February (00:00 ET Feb 1 through 23:59 ET Feb 28, 2026).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket specifies Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data with explicit exclusion of other exchanges and pairs, while Kalshi defines resolution only as SOL price without exchange, pair, or candle-level detail, creating potential for different settlement outcomes if price action differs across venues.Hero Tip:
Polymarket traders should rely exclusively on Binance SOL/USDT 1m candles. Kalshi traders should request clarification on whether resolution uses Binance spot, all exchanges, or a specific reference price. If Kalshi uses a different source or includes futures wicks, markets could resolve differently despite identical price thresholds.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Explicit Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle resolution. Upside markets (reach $X) use High price; downside markets (dip to $X) use Low price. Strict exclusion: other exchanges, pairs, and spot markets not considered. Quote: 'The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT High/Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on 1m for one-minute candles selected.'
- Kalshi: Generic SOL price threshold resolution through Feb 28, 2026 23:59 ET. No exchange, pair, or candle granularity specified. All 8 markets use identical logic: 'If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Feb 28, 2026 is ever above [threshold], then the market resolves to Yes.' Ambiguous whether this includes spot only, futures, or all venues.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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