TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Western Sydney Wanderers and Auckland in the Australia A League. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event resolves based on whether the winning team achieves specific goal-differential thresholds.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Western Sydney Wanderers or Auckland wins the match, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Western Sydney Wanderers wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Auckland wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets are based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market incorporates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the anticipated outcome of the Wanderers vs Auckland match, and potentially identify mispriced opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades result in financial gains. The market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Wanderers vs Auckland match will be determined by official match statistics, and will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout based on the market price at the time of resolution. This market’s resolution is based on the official result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions that might affect gameplay are also potential catalysts. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches, or even significant public sentiment shifts, could impact trading activity and move the market price. Monitoring these signals can help traders anticipate potential price movements in this market.