TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds for both teams.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of Toledo and Western Michigan in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for one team; if the team's score exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, the prices in this market may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds, depending on how traders interpret the new data. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities than traditional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by the collective actions of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for the Western Michigan vs Toledo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the relevant sporting authority. The price of contracts on Kalshi at the time of resolution will determine which traders are profitable and by how much, based on their initial buy or sell decisions. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of contracts in this market. Key injuries to starting players on either the Western Michigan or Toledo teams would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence scoring expectations and move the market. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could create short-term price volatility as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.