TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and Missouri State Bears scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-1.5 and -2.5), and over/under totals at multiple levels (151.5, 152.5, 153.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve based on the final official score including overtime, with consistent treatment of postponements and identical game specifications (date, time, teams, sport).
Primary resolution logic:
Official NCAA final score via ncaa.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Western Kentucky wins if they outscore Missouri State; Missouri State wins if they outscore Western Kentucky
- Spread -1.5: Western Kentucky wins if they win by 2+ points; otherwise Missouri State wins
- Spread -2.5: Western Kentucky wins if they win by 3+ points; otherwise Missouri State wins
- Over/Under 151.5: Over if combined score is 152+; Under if combined score is 151 or less
- Over/Under 152.5: Over if combined score is 153+; Under if combined score is 152 or less
- Over/Under 153.5: Over if combined score is 154+; Under if combined score is 153 or less
- All resolutions include overtime scoring in final totals
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the game is completed and played to conclusion
- Game Cancellation (No Make-up): Polymarket resolves 50-50; Kalshi does not specify cancellation protocol in provided rules
- Overtime: All scoring in overtime periods counts toward final score for all market types
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final official NCAA score is recorded on March 5, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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