TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams are set to compete on October 31, 2026. The market resolves based on which team secures a victory in this matchup. The official result of the game will be used to determine the outcome.
The market resolves to Yes if either Western Illinois or Charleston Southern wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will stay open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not endorsed by or connected to the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as traders have 'skin in the game'. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison, highlighting potential discrepancies and opportunities for informed trading. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating trading and price discovery. The total volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Western Illinois vs Charleston Southern game, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted outcome matches the actual result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Updates on team performance in preceding games, or even public statements from coaches or players, could also influence prices. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential movements in the market before it resolves.