TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Valparaiso Beacons
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Western Illinois Leathernecks vs Valparaiso Beacons?

Total volume:
$16,151
Volume 24h:
$13,792
561%
Liquidity:
$2,991
0.67%
Open interest:
$14,360
509%

Valparaiso

 - Kalshi

Valparaiso - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 01h:42m:58s

Valparaiso wins

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Valparaiso

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$4,680
998%
2,437%
$4,680
1h 42m
Active
polymarket

Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Valparaiso Beacons

Trade
6%
2%
Yes 4.9¢No 97.6¢
—
$2,991
$70
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
predict

Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Valparaiso Beacons

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.9%
Yes 4.9¢No 97.6¢
Avg: —Max: —
kalshi

Western Illinois

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$11,401
422%
7,948%
$9,679
1h 42m
Active
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between Western Illinois and Valparaiso, scheduled for November 2nd. Markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria are overly broad, resolving to 'Yes' for either team winning, while Polymarket specifies the winning team.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as it provides a definitive resolution based on the winning team, offering more clarity than Kalshi's ambiguous 'Yes' outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to the winning team: 'Western Illinois Leathernecks' or 'Valparaiso Beacons'. If the game is postponed, it remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50. Source: ncaa.com. "If the Western Illinois Leathernecks win, the market will resolve to "Western Illinois Leathernecks". If the Valparaiso Beacons win, the market will resolve to "Valparaiso Beacons".
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Valparaiso or Western Illinois wins. "If Valparaiso wins the Western Illinois vs Valparaiso men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Western Illinois wins the Western Illinois vs Valparaiso men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Western Illinois Leathernecks and Valparaiso Beacons on November 2 at 8:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the Western Illinois vs Valparaiso men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Western Illinois Leathernecks and Valparaiso Beacons on November 2 at 8:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Western Illinois vs. Valparaiso game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $14,148, with $10,957 traded in the last 24 hours. While Polymarket currently favors a particular outcome, the consensus view, as reflected by the combined volume and probabilities, provides a comprehensive assessment of expectations. This allows traders to see how the market is interpreting information and predicting the game's result. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making. This market provides a unique perspective compared to traditional betting options.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific rules and incentives on each platform might attract different types of traders. For example, Polymarket currently favors Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Valparaiso Beacons at 5.9%, while Kalshi leans toward Valparaiso wins at 99.0%. These differences highlight how varied perspectives can be reflected in prediction market pricing.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Western Illinois vs. Valparaiso game. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score and any relevant announcements. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market's settlement. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant team performance updates could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could indicate informed traders taking positions based on new information. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.