TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.8b
24H VOL:
$742,973,284
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,895,743
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,215,342,919
426,856
Markets across
40,308
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,596
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:18h:59m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Western Illinois Leathernecks and Nebraska Cornhuskers, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with a provision for a 50-50 split if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a specified date.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Western Illinois Leathernecks and Nebraska Cornhuskers, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Western Illinois vs Nebraska women's college basketball game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentive structures and information aggregation methods. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly trade on their beliefs. This market benefits from the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Furthermore, prediction markets can offer a broader range of betting options than typical sportsbooks, and the volume traded reflects the collective confidence in each outcome. This can provide a unique perspective on the likely result.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (W) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Nebraska wins at 98.0%. Different liquidity levels on each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies, as smaller markets are more susceptible to individual trades impacting the overall price. Additionally, the platforms may attract different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing assessments of the event’s probability.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Nebraska-Western Illinois football game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the final score against publicly available and reliable sports data sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution. Trading will cease prior to this date, allowing for final price discovery before the outcome is known.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Nebraska or Western Illinois teams would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected coaching changes, significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even major news regarding team morale could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media trends, can also contribute to price movements. Any late-breaking information that alters perceptions of each team’s competitive advantage has the potential to move this market substantially.