TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Western Bulldogs and Essendon Bombers, scheduled for October 9 at 4:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Western Bulldogs" if Western Bulldogs is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Western Bulldogs and Essendon Bombers, scheduled for October 9 at 4:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Western Bulldogs" if Western Bulldogs is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value compared to traditional betting options. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and efficient forecast. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and confidence in the various potential results of the Western Bulldogs versus Essendon Bombers game.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Western Bulldogs versus Essendon Bombers AFL match, as reported by official AFL sources. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final score and the outcome they predicted. It’s important to monitor official announcements as the match progresses to understand when the resolution process will begin.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Western Bulldogs or Essendon Bombers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, weather forecasts, or even pre-game analysis from respected AFL commentators could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or tactical changes might also impact the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the likely winner of the AFL match.