TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:48 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for West Virginia vs. Iowa State.
Exact margin markets for West Virginia vs. Iowa State.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact margins of victory for the West Virginia-Iowa State game. The price of each share reflects the market's current probability assessment of that specific margin occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time estimation of the likely outcome. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of active traders and the information they incorporate into their decisions.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score difference between West Virginia and Iowa State is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact margin of victory, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which shares pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the college football game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the West Virginia or Iowa State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift probabilities. Additionally, late-breaking news about team morale, coaching decisions, or even unexpected strategic adjustments could all contribute to fluctuations in the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, though the market is expected to incorporate information more efficiently.