TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of Iowa State and West Virginia in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds listed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or late-breaking information, something sportsbooks may be slower to incorporate into their lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific team total, and the price reflects the probability of that total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, and it's a forward-looking indicator of expectations for the game's scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the West Virginia vs Iowa State game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics recorded by the governing body of college football. The contracts will pay out based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract's specified value, as determined by these official results.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either West Virginia or Iowa State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact expectations for scoring. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead traders to adjust their positions, influencing the price of contracts in this market.