TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between West Virginia and Iowa State. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the third quarter, regardless of the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points in the third quarter of the West Virginia vs Iowa State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Iowa State scores more points in that quarter, the market resolves to Yes for Iowa State. If West Virginia scores more points, the market resolves to Yes for West Virginia. If both teams score the same number of points, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. Postponements are allowed up to 48 hours past the original start time without affecting resolution, with the result determined by official scores at that time. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Points from other quarters are irrelevant to this determination.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds, but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective judgment of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments or the influence of public opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and information, potentially leading to differences from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability of that team winning the 3rd quarter rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the bid-ask spread, providing insights into the liquidity and volatility of this market.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the West Virginia vs Iowa State game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected performance in earlier parts of the game, or even pre-game reports about team morale, could also lead to significant price movements. Public sentiment and betting trends in sportsbooks can also indirectly influence trading behavior on Kalshi. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also cause traders to reassess their positions.