TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of a college football game between West Virginia and Iowa State. It specifically evaluates performance from halftime onward, including any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the second half (including overtime) of the West Virginia vs Iowa State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Iowa State scores more second-half points, the market resolves to Yes for Iowa State. If West Virginia scores more second-half points, the market resolves to Yes for West Virginia. If both teams score an equal number of points in the second half, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect resolution, which will instead be based on the official final result. Should the game fail to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second half and overtime count toward determining the market outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal where the crowd and the experts disagree about the likely outcome of the West Virginia vs Iowa State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of West Virginia winning the second half. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a West Virginia win, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the second half of the West Virginia vs Iowa State game will determine the settlement of this market. The result will be based on the official game statistics and final score as reported by a trusted source. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the West Virginia or Iowa State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift expectations. Additionally, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead to substantial movement in the market as traders adjust their predictions for the second half’s winner.