TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to different point spreads that either team needs to achieve to satisfy the condition.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the West Virginia vs Iowa St. college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the first quarter by more than the indicated point spread. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent, and each has its own threshold for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many independent traders. However, initial sportsbook lines often influence early trading in this market, and discrepancies can exist due to differing risk assessments and market participants. It's common to see the price of contracts here adjust as new information becomes available and as sportsbooks update their lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the West Virginia vs Iowa State game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the spread is to the actual result, the higher the value of the corresponding contract will be at resolution.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first-quarter spread of the West Virginia vs Iowa State football game as reported by a major sports data provider. Contracts will pay out $1 per share for winning positions and $0 for losing positions. The final price of contracts in this market will reflect the collective prediction of traders regarding the first quarter spread.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the West Virginia or Iowa State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public sentiment shifts reflected in polls or expert analysis, could all contribute to fluctuations in this market's price.