TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 3:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the West Indies Tour of India T20s cricket match between India and West Indies will be completed as scheduled on October 6 2026 at 9:30 AM ET. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the match being completed, with a 98.6% probability assigned to the alternative outcome. Resolution will be determined by the result reported on https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Keep an eye on any announcements regarding potential disruptions to the tour schedule, particularly leading up to the resolution date estimate of October 13 2026, which marks the end of the betting period for this market.
This market refers to the cricket match between India and West Indies scheduled for October 6 2026 at 9:30 AM ET in West Indies Tour of India T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. Early in the market, you might see significant discrepancies, but as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket often converge with those of sportsbooks as more information is factored in. However, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when there's strong disagreement with the initial sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for a share increases its price, signaling greater confidence in that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the West Indies Tour of India T20s, specifically the series winner. The platform will verify the results against trusted sports news sources and official match data. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the majority of the T20 matches played during the tour, as officially recorded by the governing bodies of cricket.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the Indian or West Indies teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major weather events impacting match schedules or playing conditions could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, any news regarding team form, strategic changes, or pitch reports leading up to the matches could move the market. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can also influence the price, reflecting changes in trader sentiment.