TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on the margin of victory in an upcoming soccer match between West Ham and Southampton. It covers different thresholds for how many goals each team might win by, providing various ways to assess the potential outcome of the game.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential if West Ham or Southampton wins the specified professional EFL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if West Ham wins by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Southampton wins by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, as defined in the respective markets. All markets explicitly state that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s initial line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. This can result in prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly early on.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the West Ham vs Southampton match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded. As more trades occur, the price converges towards a consensus view of the likely outcome. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those participating in this market.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either West Ham or Southampton would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements from team management, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also shift the price. Major upsets in other relevant matches could influence perceptions of team strength and indirectly affect this market’s price.