TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a football match between two teams competing in a league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If West Ham and Southampton both score a goal in the West Ham vs Southampton EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets as new information becomes available. It’s common to see differences, especially as the event approaches and more trading activity occurs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the West Ham vs Southampton match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price, suggesting a lower probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the evolving beliefs of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both West Ham and Southampton score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics reported by recognized sports data providers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Key team news, such as injuries or suspensions to prominent attacking players for either West Ham or Southampton, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, unexpected tactical decisions announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift the perceived probability of both teams scoring. Any significant news related to the teams’ offensive capabilities will likely be reflected in trading activity and price movements.