TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:18 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a match between two teams in a league competition scheduled for a specific date. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score during the regular play time, including any added stoppage time at the end of the match. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within this standard match duration.
If West Ham and QPR both score a goal in the West Ham vs QPR EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might suggest differing opinions on the likelihood of both teams scoring. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, though sportsbook odds are still a useful point of comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of a contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The closer the match gets, the more the price will likely converge towards the true probability, influenced by factors like team news and form.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both West Ham and QPR score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final result will be based on the official scoreline reported by recognized sports data providers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 9, 2026. Key team news, such as injuries or suspensions to prominent attacking players for either West Ham or QPR, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, unexpected lineup announcements, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Any pre-match analysis suggesting a change in tactical approach that favors or hinders attacking play could move the market. Public perception and media coverage surrounding the match can also play a role in influencing trading activity.