TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between West Ham United FC and Southampton FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "West Ham United FC" if West Ham United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Southampton FC" if Southampton FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between West Ham United FC and Southampton FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "West Ham United FC" if West Ham United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Southampton FC" if Southampton FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the likelihood of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards the true probability as more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are influenced by news, team form, injuries, and other relevant factors, all synthesized through the actions of traders on the platform. The current implied probabilities are based on the latest trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team—West Ham United or Southampton FC—scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either West Ham or Southampton would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by the managers before the game could also move the market. Furthermore, even weather conditions on match day could influence perceptions of which team has an advantage, leading to changes in trading activity and the overall price of shares in this market.