TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional women's soccer match between two teams in Germany's top league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether one team secures a victory or if the game concludes equally.
The event resolves based on the result of the Werder vs Freiburg professional German Women's Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Werder or Freiburg wins the match within regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the Werder vs Freiburg match. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant uncertainty or incomplete information available to the public. However, sportsbook odds remain a common benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Werder vs Freiburg match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Buying a contract is like betting on that outcome, while selling a contract is like taking the opposite position. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Werder vs Freiburg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Werder or Freiburg would likely impact the odds. Any significant news regarding team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching decisions, or changes in the match schedule could all lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential market movements for this match.