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Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC?

Volume:
$107,508

Wellington

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 11:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wellington

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,690
N/A
N/A
$24,491
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wellington Phoenix FC

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Central Coast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,747
N/A
N/A
$7,400
Settled
No
polymarket

Central Coast Mariners FC

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,113
N/A
N/A
$7,784
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC)

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Wellington Phoenix FC and Central Coast Mariners FC scheduled for October 24, 2026. Markets exist for Wellington Phoenix winning, Central Coast Mariners winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and have similar fallback procedures for data sourcing and cancellation scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (A-League).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the result of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is cancelled without a reschedule, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Resolution data sources are prioritized as: Official statistics -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> Consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, fallback sources will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market may resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, ideally within 2 hours if official statistics are promptly available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Wellington Phoenix FC and Central Coast Mariners FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Wellington vs Central Coast professional Australia A League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team, or to the 'Tie' market if the game concludes with an equal score. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all branding remains the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the A-League Grand Final market, aggregating predictions on which team will win. Currently, the consensus view shows a slight lean towards Wellington Phoenix FC, with approximately 57 percent probability according to Polymarket. Total volume across both platforms is $107,508, and 24-hour volume is $105,338. This allows traders to compare and contrast opinions from different prediction markets, providing a comprehensive outlook on the event’s potential outcome. The dashboard provides a unified view of the probabilities and trading activity surrounding the A-League Grand Final.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially react to news, this market can quickly incorporate new information as traders adjust their positions, potentially offering more real-time insight.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different traders with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing valuations. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence prices. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery—how traders can buy and sell predictions—differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, contributing to these discrepancies. These differences create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price variations across platforms.