TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional cricket match between two teams, determining which team secures a victory. The result depends solely on the official match conclusion, with specific conditions handling ties, cancellations, or other disruptions.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the men's professional Ford Trophy cricket match between Wellington Firebirds and Canterbury, scheduled for October 30, 2026. If either team is declared the official winner by the governing body, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly. Should the match end in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, if the match has not started, all markets also resolve to $0.50; if the match has begun and a winner is declared, the market resolves based on that official result. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it might signal an opportunity to exploit a mispricing, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, allowing for continuous trading and price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Canterbury vs Firebirds match, as officially recorded by the governing sporting body, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize the settlement of all outstanding contracts. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected performance in preceding matches or key player form could also drive trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.