TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a college football game between Weber State and Montana State, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the matchup. The resolution depends solely on the official game result, with specific guidelines for postponements or cancellations.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Weber State vs Montana State college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final outcome. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market’s prices are driven purely by participants’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own analysis. Early in the market, sportsbook odds may be more readily available and represent a more established view. However, as the event approaches, this market can incorporate new information and potentially offer a more accurate forecast, especially if there's significant disagreement with the initial sportsbook assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Weber St. vs Montana St. game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Weber St. vs Montana St. game, as officially recorded. This includes determining which team won, or if the game ended in a tie. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the result and settle the market accordingly, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Weber St. or Montana St. teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies, coaching decisions, or even unexpected roster changes could all contribute to price fluctuations. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role in how traders adjust their positions.