TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Watford and Charlton. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for total goals scored in the Watford vs Charlton EFL Championship match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed based on the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets resolve independently according to their respective thresholds, meaning each outcome is determined by whether the final goal count surpasses its designated level. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for the house. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of different outcomes, without that built-in margin. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market’s prices are constantly adjusted based on real-money trading activity, potentially revealing insights that differ from traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, similar to a stock exchange. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Watford vs Charlton match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Watford vs Charlton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders who hold contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Watford or Charlton would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations about scoring. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis suggesting a shift in tactical approaches or team form could sway trader sentiment and affect the prices. Even public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert predictions, can contribute to price fluctuations.