TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Watford vs Charlton: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Watford vs Charlton?

Volume:
$5,761

Watford wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Watford wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 9:41 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Watford wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,769
N/A
N/A
$2,673
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Charlton wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,067
N/A
N/A
$1,050
Settled
No
kalshi

Watford wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
$577
Settled
No
kalshi

Charlton wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
$348
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Watford and Charlton, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Watford or Charlton wins the match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, in the EFL Championship. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Watford winning by more than 2.5 goals, Watford winning by more than 1.5 goals, Charlton winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Charlton winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The event operates independently of any official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Watford vs Charlton match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $5,719, with $4,913 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows participants to understand market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. The dashboard provides a clear visualization of how traders are assessing the likely outcome of the match, and how that assessment is evolving.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, it may suggest that the crowd believes there's value in one outcome that sportsbooks haven’t fully priced in, or vice versa. It’s important to consider both sources of information when making informed decisions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Watford vs Charlton match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of the participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements. The current price represents the market’s estimate of the probability of a particular spread occurring, and changes as new information becomes available.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Watford vs Charlton match, as determined by official match statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s value at resolution. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or strategic changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.