TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Watford and Burnley. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Watford and Burnley in their EFL Championship match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootout scenarios. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Watford vs Burnley match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. The higher the price, the greater the implied probability of that outcome, and vice versa. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be determined by the total number of goals scored in the Watford vs Burnley match, as officially recorded by the governing football league. The market will settle to 100, representing the winning outcome based on the total goals scored during regulation time and any added time, as determined by the official match result. Any disputes will be resolved by referencing official match data.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Watford or Burnley would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or kickoff time, could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, any large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and potentially shift the market’s direction.