TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Watford and Burnley, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Watford or Burnley wins the match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, in the EFL Championship. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Watford winning by more than 2.5 goals, Watford winning by more than 1.5 goals, Burnley winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Burnley winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The match result is confirmed after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty procedures. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful for anyone interested in the Watford vs Burnley match, providing a broader view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that traders assign to that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price is entirely determined by the actions of participants on Kalshi, and is not influenced by any external factors or other venues. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the spread for the Watford vs Burnley match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final spread in the Watford vs Burnley match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded result of the game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or key player availability would likely have a significant impact. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market related to the Watford vs Burnley match.