TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Watford and Burnley in the EFL Championship league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a Watford win, a Burnley win, or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Watford vs Burnley professional EFL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. There are three possible market outcomes: Watford win, Burnley win, or Tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's rules. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing these odds can provide insights into where the market finds value and potentially identify mispriced opportunities, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Watford vs Burnley match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Watford vs Burnley match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The final score and official result will be used to determine which outcome, if any, pays out to contract holders. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Watford or Burnley would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all shift market sentiment. Any significant news related to team morale, off-field issues, or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.