TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether the total points scored in the Washington versus USC college football game will exceed 36.5. Currently, the “Over 36.5 points scored” outcome is trading at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the game, as defined by whether the teams collectively score more than 51.5 points, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve following the conclusion of the Washington vs USC game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, with final settlement expected by the resolution date of 2026-10-04.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Washington and USC in their game scheduled for October 3, 2026 exceeds specified point thresholds. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of when or if the game is ultimately played.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs and potentially identify mispriced probabilities. It's common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches, as both markets incorporate new information. However, prediction markets can sometimes offer more favorable odds, particularly if there's strong conviction among traders that differs from the sportsbook’s initial assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total from the Washington vs USC game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contract wins. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The result will be publicly available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or USC would likely cause significant movement, as this directly impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also affect the points total. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Additionally, large volume trades on Kalshi can indicate shifts in sentiment and drive price fluctuations, reflecting new information or changing expectations among traders.