TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are scored by players catching passes during a college football game between Washington and USC. The outcomes depend on whether specific teams reach certain thresholds of receiving touchdowns, with detailed rules clarifying what counts toward these totals.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team during the Washington vs USC college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, including any touchdowns scored in overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is defined as one scored by the player who caught the pass; if another player recovers a fumble and scores, it does not count as a receiving touchdown, though if the original receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores, it does count. Successful two-point conversions, whether in regulation or overtime, are explicitly excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the event’s outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than what’s available at a sportsbook. It’s important to compare both to inform your decision-making process.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of those trading, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Washington vs USC game. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trading relies on correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether or not each team scores at least one touchdown during the Washington vs USC game. The official game statistics will be used to determine which teams scored touchdowns, and this information will be used to settle the contracts. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Washington or USC teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or running plays, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any pre-game analysis or expert opinions predicting a change in offensive strategy could impact trading activity, and therefore, the price of contracts in this market. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or coaching decisions could also be catalysts.