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Washington vs USC: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Washington vs USC?

Volume:
$3,278,090

USC wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

USC wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 11:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

USC wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240,836
N/A
N/A
$147,552
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$170,989
N/A
N/A
$116,608
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,466
N/A
N/A
$24,470
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USC wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$862,484
N/A
N/A
$645,771
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$834,236
N/A
N/A
$530,866
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$315,001
N/A
N/A
$212,516
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133,212
N/A
N/A
$60,584
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,760
N/A
N/A
$47,894
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,452
N/A
N/A
$52,690
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,265
N/A
N/A
$26,916
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,901
N/A
N/A
$34,286
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,485
N/A
N/A
$39,639
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,123
N/A
N/A
$26,937
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,658
N/A
N/A
$21,786
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,495
N/A
N/A
$13,780
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,031
N/A
N/A
$24,382
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,729
N/A
N/A
$22,409
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,720
N/A
N/A
$20,503
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,306
N/A
N/A
$10,109
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,933
N/A
N/A
$14,863
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,768
N/A
N/A
$7,499
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 21.5 points

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,080
N/A
N/A
$11,018
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,529
N/A
N/A
$10,676
Settled
No
kalshi

USC wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,102
N/A
N/A
$8,609
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,189
N/A
N/A
$7,471
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether USC will win their college football game against Washington by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 82.0% probability to USC winning by over 1.5 points, with resolution determined by the final score of the Washington vs USC game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Participants can trade on their expectations of the game’s outcome, and the market will resolve based on the official result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will ultimately be settled based on the final score reported after the game on October 4, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Washington vs USC college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If USC wins by exceeding the specified point margin listed in the market title, that market resolves to Yes; if Washington wins by exceeding its listed margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the actual result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Washington vs USC spread tracks the continuously updating odds reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated over time, as well as the current 24-hour trading volume of $3,087,229. Currently, the total volume for this market is $3,278,090. This allows you to see how much activity there is and understand market sentiment around the potential point difference in the game.

Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often serve as a useful benchmark. You may find that this market initially mirrors sportsbook lines, but diverges as new information becomes available and traders incorporate their own analysis. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as the event approaches and more specific details are known.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Washington vs USC spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing allows the market to reflect evolving expectations and new information as it becomes available.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Washington vs USC game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which side of the spread – Washington or USC – ultimately covered, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Washington or USC would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements, although this market is driven by actual trading activity. Major upsets in other college football games could indirectly affect perceptions of team strength and impact this market.