TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:24 PM EST
Polymarket
Exact margin markets for Washington vs. USC.
Exact margin markets for Washington vs. USC.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different point-difference outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of shares available at various price points, indicates the strength of conviction behind each outcome. Higher volume at specific price levels suggests greater confidence in those predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point margin of the Washington vs. USC game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports organization. Traders holding shares in the correct margin range will receive a payout based on the market's pricing at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as it approaches to understand potential catalysts that could impact the final result and, consequently, this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Washington or USC would likely cause a shift in the odds, as would updates on team strategies or weather forecasts impacting game conditions. Significant changes in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected developments in the broader college football landscape, such as upsets involving other top teams, might indirectly affect this market by altering overall risk sentiment. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for informed trading.